Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.169927 0.197340 0.227806 0.264183 0.306456 0.354057 0.411764
2025-04-06 0.124184 0.159833 0.203707 0.261730 0.336555 0.429951 0.555649
2025-04-13 0.100928 0.139432 0.190276 0.262435 0.362448 0.496535 0.690615
2025-04-20 0.088816 0.129996 0.187585 0.274180 0.401502 0.582511 0.860658
2025-04-27 0.079169 0.121804 0.184460 0.283510 0.436796 0.666094 1.037262
2025-05-04 0.071223 0.114568 0.181153 0.291232 0.469578 0.748810 1.222425
2025-05-11 0.063591 0.106515 0.175164 0.293375 0.493068 0.819004 1.395943
2025-05-18 0.056395 0.098049 0.167187 0.290802 0.507839 0.875974 1.553880
2025-05-25 0.049326 0.088781 0.156566 0.282077 0.510508 0.912103 1.679406
2025-06-01 0.045879 0.085347 0.155419 0.289571 0.542250 1.001953 1.911828
2025-06-08 0.041966 0.080531 0.151156 0.290694 0.562175 1.072332 2.116354
2025-06-15 0.039095 0.077283 0.149317 0.295992 0.590347 1.160899 2.366501
2025-06-22 0.035134 0.071518 0.142185 0.290430 0.597206 1.210361 2.547760
2025-06-29 0.031944 0.066911 0.136789 0.287706 0.609517 1.272309 2.763583
2025-07-06 0.029489 0.063492 0.133338 0.288482 0.629023 1.351017 3.025038
2025-07-13 0.028415 0.062851 0.135512 0.301408 0.676026 1.493159 3.444464
2025-07-20 0.027179 0.061697 0.136442 0.311678 0.718363 1.630111 3.870278
2025-07-27 0.025894 0.060270 0.136593 0.320177 0.757667 1.764868 4.308845
2025-08-03 0.024260 0.057844 0.134225 0.322537 0.782886 1.870191 4.690638
2025-08-10 0.022423 0.054720 0.129896 0.319704 0.795276 1.946644 5.011182
2025-08-17 0.020335 0.050744 0.123121 0.310101 0.789822 1.979222 5.224583
2025-08-24 0.019514 0.049797 0.123504 0.318349 0.830290 2.130305 5.767164
2025-08-31 0.018356 0.047863 0.121246 0.319585 0.852814 2.238522 6.209778